Date: 2015-12-21 12:09
Subject: Re: HRC, Obama and ISIS

That's good, sooner it's clarified the better, and the stronger the better. Re the Trump ISIS video, if we don't have the proof campaign should assign 100 people to look for it ASAP, there is probably something on tape somewhere.

p.s. On the UN last week, support it yes, but be careful. I love Kerry like a bro' and support him always as HRC should and does. But be careful about the U.N., support but don't go too far. Putin did not agree to anything about removing Assad and continues to bomb the people we support. We pushed the same position in 2012 (Geneva 1, which HRC knows all about) and Geneva 2 in 2014. Odds that Putin agrees to remove Assad are only slightly better than the odds the College of Cardinals chooses me to someday succeed Pope Francis.

Best approach is to slaughter Donald for his bromance with Putin, but not go too far betting on Putin re Syria. Brent

Sent from my iPad

On Dec 21, 2015, at 9:00 AM, John Podesta > wrote:

Her reference was not to ISIS but to going after Assad diplomatically because of UNSC resolution passed Friday. We will make that clear. She has given two major speeches about how we are NOT where we need to be on ISIS.

On Monday, December 21, 2015, Brent Budowsky > wrote:

Walk back and escape from her statement that "finally we are where we need to be" against ISIS. We are not where we need to be, we are far from it, most voters do not believe it, and when the next terror attack comes in America--- which it certainly will----she will be branded in hot iron with that statement.

Does she really want to co-own the Obama-Clinton ISIS strategy?

She will never state what I believe we need to do---at least 20,000 ground troops with 3,000 American and at least 10,000 from Sunni Muslim nations--- because she is consumed with keeping Obama's goodwill and afraid of liberal backlash.

But at the least she should not be branding and infecting herself with Obama's policy towards Syria and ISIS by offering such high and direct praise for it. If she believes there will not be any more terror attacks between now and November 2016 it is the right strategy. If I am right, and there will be more terror attacks in America before the election, this strategy could be a death ray to her candidacy in a general election.

She can praise Obama without such extravagant overstatement and such direct endorsement of his policy by falsely stating we are where we need to be. She can praise him but every time she does she should immediately follow it with positive reminders of the success of the Bill Clinton presidency. Every time she mentions Obama positively, follow it by mentioning Bill Clinton a bit more positively. And when possible mention JFK as well. She does NOT want to run for Obama's third term on ISIS and Syria to continue the Obama-Clinton policy against ISIS.

She appears locked into a tactical approach which is a Democratic version of the Richard Nixon strategy in the 1960's and 1970's----move left before the primaries before the nomination and then move right before the general election after the nomination. This approach no longer works in the current media and political era where brands, images and perceptions become locked in forever much earlier in the process than the old era where news moved slow and three television networks were the source of 90% of the news.

I suspect her negative trust ratings are locked in through election day. If there is a Trump ISIS video the campaign release it. If not, her untrustworthy numbers will remain further locked at high levels. These trust problems are self-induced and keep occurring. 

The best single move to elect her would be a massive voter registration and organization drive. Expand the electorate so more voters will vote so her low trust ratings generally will have less pro rated impact, and the number of higher trust voters will be newly registered. Most of the consultants will oppose this because they do not get paid for registering voters to elect candidates, they get paid for other things such as television ads whether those ads are effective or not.

It is no coincidence that this year Trump runs no ads, while Jeb and Hillary run the most ads with little effect. Voter registration by contrast creates real voters and changes---and improves---the playing field itself. There is no ad on earth that will increase her trust ratings or the enthusiasm of her voters the way a mega-registration project will increase her support on election day.

As for ISIS, the mathematically worst place for her to be is co-owner of the Obama-Clinton policy. Obama could destroy her candidacy the same way Democrats lost control of the House, the Senate, governorships and state legislatures during her presidency.

Things happen for a reason, and either change the reason or we will end up with the same outcome.



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